Gary Duell

Do Statistics Lie?

Statistics don’t lie. But people lie using them. Below is what I call lying with the truth. It’s done to sell newspapers of course; I mean, that’s a very alarming increase in Omicron deaths isn’t it?  But hey, wait a minute.  Let’s take a closer look at the scale here. This is “Cumulative Deaths per 100,000” across various countries, with

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Bullies Are Bad

In one of his comedy routines, Chris Rock drops a funny and I assume true story about bullies, most notably in his daughter’s private school. He says, “. . .bullies do half the work. Teachers do the other half, but it’s the bully half that you’ll actually use in the real world.” When the principal assured him there

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It Is Reasonable To Expect 8-12% Market Returns Over The Next Ten Years

The title of this blog is indeed a solid myth. Before I project asset growth and income flow in Retirement Analyzer I have analyzed the client’s current portfolio and compared it to my recommended allocation.  To their disappointment, I routinely reduce the assumed rate of return (ROR) by half while keeping the same volatility.  So, for example,

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You Can’t Spend More Than 4% of Your Retirement Savings Without Going Broke

Yes you can!  Another easily disproved myth. In their study “Why Annuities Work Like a License to Spend”  David Blanchett and Michael Finke* conclude:. . .every $1 of assets converted to guaranteed income will result in twice the equivalent spending compared to money left invested in a portfolio. The size of the effect is large enough

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Arbitration IS the Best Dispute Resolution Tool

The title of this blog post is, in my opinion, a solid myth.  Good proof of that are recent bills in Congress intending to end binding arbitration because, in general it is:  Unfair.  The process is heavily biased in the industry’s favor  Which is probably why the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA) is against reforms. 

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MYTH: Healthcare Will Be Your Biggest Retirement Expense

The truth of this blog heading depends, of course, on the health and wealth of the individual.  But it is still rarely true.  In the plans I’ve developed, Taxes usually exceed projected health care costs 3 to 1.  I think a lot of health care cost calculators are unjustifiably alarmist for the purpose of selling insurance. 

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